Ishishini lemizila ye-aluminium yehlabathi liphela lijongene notshintsho olukhulu kwisakhiwo ngo-2026, oluqhutywa yimfuno ekhulayo esezantsi kuzo zonke iindlela zokwenza izinto ngokuzenzekelayo kwimizi-mveliso, iziseko zophuhliso zamandla avuselelekayo, ulwakhiwo oluluhlaza, kunye namacandelo amatsha othutho lwamandla. Njengenxalenye ephambili ye-aluminium ekhutshiweyo eneempawu ezilula, ezinamandla aphezulu, ezingamelani nokugqwala, kwaye kulula ukuyifaka, iimveliso zemizila ye-aluminium kubandakanya imizila yesikhokelo ethe tye, iireli zokufaka ilanga, imizila yokutyibilika yokwakha, kunye nemikhondo yokuhlanganisa imizi-mveliso ziye zaba zizinto ezisisiseko ezibalulekileyo kwimveliso yehlabathi ephezulu kunye nokwakhiwa kweziseko zophuhliso ezinekhabhoni ephantsi. Idatha yakutshanje yemarike yaphesheya, amandla otyalo-mali kwimizi-mveliso, kunye nohlengahlengiso lomgaqo-nkqubo wengingqi ngokudibeneyo ibonisa ukuba imakethi yemizila ye-aluminium itshintsha ukusuka ekukhuleni okubanzi kwendabuko ukuya kuphuhliso oluphezulu, oluzinzileyo, nolukrelekrele, kunye neendlela ezahlukeneyo zokwahlukana kwemimandla kunye nokuphindaphinda kwetekhnoloji ezivelayo kuMntla Melika, eYurophu, kuMzantsi-mpuma weAsia, naseOceania.
Ngokutsho kohlalutyo lwamva nje lweshishini oluvela kwi-IndexBox kunye ne-PW Consulting, imakethi yehlabathi ye-aluminium linear track kunye ne-mounting rail igcine izinga lokukhula elizinzileyo lonyaka eliyi-6.85% ukusuka ngo-2025 ukuya ku-2032, kunye nobukhulu bemakethi iyonke bufikelela kwi-USD 1.16 yezigidigidi ngo-2025 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ifikelele kwi-USD 1.84 yezigidigidi ngo-2032. Okuphawulekayo kukuba, i-solar photovoltaic (PV)umzila we-aluminiyamEli candelo libonisa ukukhula okukhawulezayo, libhalisa i-CAGR eyi-5.8% kwaye kulindeleke ukuba liphinde kabini isikali semarike yalo ngo-2035, lixhaswa kukuqaliswa kwehlabathi lonke kweeprojekthi zokufakelwa kwelanga ezingaphezu kwama-500 GW. Olu hambo lokukhula oluqinileyo lubonisa ukuqatshelwa okukhulayo kwamanye amazwe kweengenelo zesakhiwo sendlela ye-aluminium kunye nexabiso lokusingqongileyo, njengoko amashishini ehlabathi ekhawulezisa ukutshintshwa kweendlela zentsimbi zemveli ngezisombululo ze-aluminium ezikhaphukhaphu.
Enye yezona ndlela zibalaseleyo zaphesheya kolwandle ngo-2026 kukuhlanganiswa okunzulu kweiinkqubo zethrekhi ye-aluminiumngeziseko zamandla avuselelekayo, ingakumbi ukungena ngokukhawuleza kweendlela zokufaka i-aluminium kwiimarike ze-PV zelanga zaseYurophu naseMntla Melika. Amazwe aseYurophu, akhokelwa yiJamani, iFransi, neNetherlands, aqinise iinjongo zawo zokuguqula amandla acocekileyo phantsi kwe-EU Green Deal, eqhuba imfuno ekhulayo yeendlela zelanga ze-aluminium ezichanekileyo nezimelana nemozulu. Ngokungafaniyo neebrakethi zentsimbi yekhabhoni zemveli, iinkqubo zendlela ze-aluminium ezisebenzisa umgangatho we-alloy ovuthiweyo we-Al6005-T5 zinokumelana nokugqwala okuphezulu kakhulu kunye nozinzo lwesakhiwo, ezizivumelanisa neendawo zangaphandle ezinje ngomswakama wonxweme kunye nemitha ye-ultraviolet ephezulu. Okubaluleke ngakumbi, uyilo lwendlela ye-aluminium elungiselelweyo enezakhiwo ze-sliding nut ezifakwe kwi-snap-in zinciphise ixesha lokusebenza kwindawo malunga ne-40%, zijongana ngempumelelo nokunqongophala kwabasebenzi okuqhubekayo okubangela ishishini lokwakha i-PV yorhwebo kunye nemizi-mveliso yaseYurophu.
EMantla Melika, imakethi yemizila ye-aluminium ilawulwa yimveliso eqhelekileyo kunye nohlengahlengiso lwecandelo lobonelelo lwempahla kwindawo. UMthetho woKuncitshiswa kweNkunkuma eMelika (i-IRA) uqalise imigaqo-nkqubo yezibonelelo zerhafu ezinkulu kunye nenkxaso-mali yamandla avuselelekayo asekhaya kunye nemveliso ephucukileyo, nto leyo ekhuthaza abavelisi basekuhlaleni ukuba bakhawulezise ukwandiswa kwamandla kunye nokuphuculwa kweziqinisekiso. Ngo-2026, abathengisi bemizila ye-aluminium abaphambili eMntla Melika baye bazisa ngokupheleleyo iinkqubo zemizila yelanga eziqinisekisiweyo ze-UL 2703, beqinisekisa ukuthotyelwa kwemigangatho engqongqo yokhuseleko lwesakhiwo sengingqi kunye nokukhuselwa komlilo. I-APA Solar Solutions, umdlali ophambili wasekuhlaleni, yaqalisa ngokusesikweni isiseko sayo esitsha semveliso eBryan, eOhio, igxile kwi-R&D kunye nokuveliswa kweenkqubo zokufaka imizila ye-aluminium ze-TITAN ezikumgangatho ophezulu kunye ne-Ready Rack, nto leyo ephucula kakhulu amandla okubonelela asekhaya eemveliso zemizila ye-aluminium ephezulu kwimarike yaseMntla Melika. Okwangoku, igagasi lokuphucula icandelo le-automation yezimboni lase-US liqhubele phambili kwimfuno enamandla yemizila ye-aluminium echanekileyo, esetyenziswa kakhulu kwimigca yemveliso ekrelekrele, iinkqubo ze-robotic sliding, kunye nezixhobo ze-logistics ezenzekelayo, iqhubela phambili ukuphindaphinda kwetekhnoloji yokucubungula imizila ye-aluminium echanekileyo, ephantsi.
Imarike yemizila ye-aluminium yaseYurophu ibonakaliswa ngakumbi kukugxininisa kwayo ngokungqongqo kwimigangatho yemveliso ejikelezayo kunye nemigangatho yemveliso eluhlaza. Ukuphendula kwindlela yokulungiswa kwemida yekhabhoni ye-EU (CBAM) kunye nemithetho engqongqo yokusingqongileyo, abavelisi bemizila ye-aluminium baphesheya baye bakhuthaza ngokupheleleyo ukusetyenziswa kwezinto ze-aluminium ezisetyenzisiweyo kunye neenkqubo zemveliso enekhabhoni ephantsi. Ngowama-2025-2026, amashishini amakhulu e-aluminium aseYurophu andise utyalo-mali kwimigca yesibini yemveliso yokuphinda kusetyenziswe i-aluminium, kunye nenani le-aluminium esetyenzisiweyo kwiimveliso ezintsha zemizila ye-aluminium linyuke laya kutsho ngaphezulu kwama-35% ngokomndilili. Ngokungafaniyo nemveliso ye-aluminium yokuqala exhomekeke ekusetyenzisweni kwamandla aphezulu, ukuveliswa kwemizila ye-aluminium esetyenzisiweyo kunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni ngaphezulu kwama-90%, kuhambelana ngokugqibeleleyo neenjongo zophuhliso lwe-ESG zamashishini okwakha aseYurophu kunye namandla amatsha. Ukongeza, amazwe aseYurophu akhawulezise ukubekwa kwemimiselo kwezicelo zokwakha imizila ye-aluminium, kunye neenkcukacha zoshishino ezidibeneyo ezikhutshweyo zemizila yokungena etyibilikayo, imizila yokuxhasa udonga lwekhethini, kunye nemikhondo yokuhlanganisa imizi-mveliso, ukwenza imarike ibe semgangathweni kwaye kususe iimveliso zekhabhoni ephezulu, ezikumgangatho ophantsi.
I-Southeast Asia kunye ne-Oceania ziye zavela njengezibonda ezintsha zokukhula kwimarike yehlabathi ye-aluminium track ngo-2026, zixhamla kulwakhiwo olukhawulezileyo lweziseko zophuhliso kunye nolwakhiwo lwamandla avuselelekayo. Amazwe afana neVietnam, iThailand, kunye ne-Australia akhuthaza ngamandla ukwakhiwa kwezikhululo zamandla ze-photovoltaic kunye nokuphuculwa kweepaki zemizi-mveliso, eqhuba ukukhula okuqhubekayo kwemfuno yeemveliso ze-aluminium track ezingabizi kakhulu neziguquguqukayo. Ngokungafaniyo neemveliso ezenziwe ngokwezifiso ezisemgangathweni ophezulu eYurophu naseMelika, imakethi yaseMzantsi-mpuma Asia ithanda izisombululo ze-aluminium track ezisetyenziswa kwihlabathi liphela, ezilungelelanisa ukusebenza kunye neendleko. Abasasazi basekuhlaleni kunye nabakhi beeprojekthi bakhetha izixhobo ze-track ezidibeneyo ezinezixhobo ezipheleleyo kunye nezakhiwo ezicwangcisiweyo kwangaphambili ukuphucula ukusebenza kakuhle kokwakha kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zobunjineli. I-Australia, ngakumbi, ibone imfuno ekhulayo ye-aluminium tracks kwiiprojekthi ezinkulu zelanga zomhlaba, njengoko izixhobo zayo zomhlaba omkhulu kunye nezixhobo ezininzi zamandla elanga ziqhuba ukwandiswa okuqhubekayo kofakelo lwe-PV olusetyenziswa kakhulu, okudala imfuno ezinzileyo yexesha elide yeenkqubo ze-aluminium track ezimelana nokugqwala ezifanelekileyo kwiindawo zasentlango naselunxwemeni.
Ukwenziwa kwezinto ngobuchule kunye nokuhlaziywa kweteknoloji yinxalenye enye yendlela ephambili kushishino lwe-aluminium lwehlabathi ngo-2026. Abavelisi abaphambili baphesheya baye bamkela ngokubanzi ubuchwepheshe obuphindwe kabini bedijithali, uyilo oluchanekileyo lwe-AI, kunye nemigca yemveliso ezenzekelayo ngokupheleleyo ukuze kuphuculwe iiparameter zesakhiwo se-aluminium kunye nokuchaneka kokucubungula. Ukuveliswa kwemizila ye-aluminium yendabuko kuxhomekeke kumava esandla ukuze kumiselwe iiparameter, okukhokelela ekuchanekeni kwemveliso okungaguqukiyo kunye nokusebenza kakuhle kwemveliso ephantsi. Okwangoku, iifektri eziphambili zaseYurophu naseMelika zisebenzisa ii-algorithms ze-AI ukulinganisa iimeko zesicelo seprojekthi, zilungisa ngokuguquguqukayo ulwakhiwo lwemizila, ubukhulu bodonga, kunye neenkcukacha zegroove ukuze kufezekiswe ukwenziwa ngokwezifiso ngokweemeko ezahlukeneyo ezifana neenkqubo zokulandelela ilanga, imigca yemveliso ezenzekelayo, kunye nezakhiwo ezityibilikayo zokwakha. Okwangoku, itekhnoloji yokulungisa kwangaphambili esekelwe kwi-big data isetyenziswa kwizixhobo zemveliso yokulandelela, inciphisa ngempumelelo amazinga okusilela kwemveliso kunye nokuphucula isivuno semveliso kunye nokuhambelana kwemveliso. Ukusasazwa kwemveliso ekrelekrele kuye kwanciphisa kakhulu umsantsa wokusebenza phakathi kweebhetshi ezahlukeneyo zeemveliso zemizila ye-aluminium, kubeka isiseko sokukhuthazwa okukhulu kweenkqubo zemizila ye-aluminium esemgangathweni kwihlabathi liphela.
Ipateni yokuhanjiswa kwetrakhi ye-aluminium yehlabathi ikwalungiswa kakhulu ngo-2026. Ichatshazelwe zizinto zezopolitiko, imigaqo-nkqubo yerhafu yorhwebo lwengingqi, kunye nomahluko weendleko zamandla, ishishini letrakhi ye-aluminium yehlabathi liyatshintsha ukusuka kwimodeli enye yokubonelela ukuya kulwakhiwo lokubonelela oluhlukeneyo nolwasekhaya. Iimarike zaseYurophu naseMelika zikhawulezisa ukwenziwa kwendawo yamandla emveliso yetrakhi ye-aluminium ukunciphisa ukuxhomekeka ekungenisweni kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kunye nokuqinisekisa uzinzo lwetrakhi yokubonelela. Kwangaxeshanye, iimarike ezisakhulayo eMzantsi-mpuma Asia, eLatin America, naseMbindi Mpuma zihlala zingenisa ubuchwepheshe bemveliso yamanye amazwe kunye nezixhobo zokukhulisa amandla okuvelisa itrakhi ye-aluminium yasekuhlaleni. I-Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), ishishini eliphambili le-aluminium eMpuma Mpuma, landise amandla alo okuvelisa i-aluminium ephinde yasetyenziswa ngo-2026, libeka ngokukhutheleyo imigca yemveliso yetrakhi ye-aluminium engaphantsi kwekhabhoni ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezikhulayo zezinto ze-aluminium eziluhlaza kwiimarike ezintsha zamandla kunye nokwakha zaseMpuma Mpuma.
Nangona kukho ithemba lokukhula, ishishini lemizila ye-aluminium kwihlabathi liphela lisajongene nemingeni ebalulekileyo. Okokuqala, ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza okubangelwa kukuxinana kwe-aluminium kwihlabathi liphela kuyaqhubeka nokuchaphazela imida yenzuzo yamashishini. Umgaqo-nkqubo wokulawula ukuthumela ngaphandle i-bauxite eGuinea kunye nokusasazwa okungalinganiyo kwezixhobo zamandla avuselelekayo kwihlabathi jikelele kukhokelela kumaxabiso e-aluminium angazinzanga, nto leyo ebangela uxinzelelo lweendleko kubavelisi bemizila ye-aluminium. Okwesibini, eli shishini linemiqobo yobuchwephesha yengingqi ecacileyo kunye nomahluko oqhelekileyo. Isatifikethi se-CE saseYurophu, isatifikethi se-UL saseMntla Melika, kunye nemigangatho yeshishini lendawo yeemarike ezisakhulayo zonyusa iindleko ze-R&D kunye nesatifikethi soyilo lwamashishini ehlabathi lonke. Okwesithathu, ukwanda ngokukhawuleza kwemfuno yemarike kukhokelele ekunqongophaleni kweetalente zobugcisa eziphezulu kunye namaqela okwakha obuchwephesha kwezinye iindawo, okuthintela ukukhuthazwa okukhulu kweenkqubo zemizila ye-aluminium ezichanekileyo nezikrelekrele.
Ukujonga phambili ukuya kowama-2027-2030, imakethi yehlabathi yetrakhi ye-aluminium iya kugcina ukukhula okuzinzileyo nokuzinzileyo, kunye nokufakwa kwekhabhoni eluhlaza, ukwenziwa ngokwezifiso okukrelekrele, kunye nokunikezelwa kwendawo yengingqi kube ziindlela ezintathu eziphambili zophuhliso. Ngokuqhubekeka phambili kweenjongo zehlabathi zekhabhoni ezimbini kunye nokuthandwa ngokukhawuleza kwemveliso ekrelekrele kunye nezixhobo zamandla ahlaziyekayo, iimeko zokusetyenziswa kweemveliso zetrakhi ye-aluminium ziya kwandiswa ngakumbi, zigubungele amasimi avelayo afana neereli ezintsha zeslayidi zezithuthi zamandla, iindlela zokuxhasa izixhobo zokugcina amandla, kunye neenkqubo zokwenza izinto ngokuzenzekelayo ezikrelekrele. Amashishini aphambili aphesheya kwezilwandle aya kuqhubeka nokwandisa utyalo-mali kuphando lwezinto zekhabhoni ephantsi kunye nokuvelisa ubuchwepheshe obukrelekrele, ngelixa ukwakhiwa kwemigangatho yeshishini kuya kuphuculwa ngakumbi. Ishishini letrakhi ye-aluminium yehlabathi liya kususa kancinci kancinci ukhuphiswano olufana ngamaxabiso aphantsi kwaye liye kuphuhliso olunexabiso eliphezulu, olukumgangatho ophezulu, noluzinzileyo, luvula indawo ebanzi yophuhliso lwemarike.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Agasti-28-2026